Saturday, March 3, 2007

89 Ski Doo Tundra Tune Up

commentary

The climate of opinion
of Christian Schütte


published on Wednesday, 02/21/2007
in the Financial Times Germany

Last week, the District Court of Mannheim Holocaust denier Ernst Zundel to five charges of incitement years in prison without parole sentenced. Claudia Roth, chairwoman of the Greens, welcomed the verdict usual vehemence.
"Dangerous mental arsonists must be made by means of law every opportunity to spread their false (...) Hetztiraden."
also presented in the past week, American columnist and Pulitzer Prize winner Ellen Goodman in the Boston Globe following steep thesis on: "Let's just say that the deniers of global warming is now on a par with Holocaust deniers are denying Although some the past and the other the present and the future.."
It would be interesting to know whether Claudia Roth sees it that way. If so, then we would not, pretty soon a big problem.

history and hypothesis
The legal prohibition of Holocaust denial is a balancing act in the open society, a special law against freedom of expression, which is to protect the victims of a major crime. Whether it actually prevents agitation, is very questionable. Ignorance normally be fought not by banning them, but by being criticized corrosive. After all, it is
the Holocaust but an undeniable historical fact that is proved by the testimonies and documents.
Future warming on the other hand has nothing to do with not only deliberately organized genocide. It is also - sorry, my good woman Goodman - not a fact but only a scientific hypothesis, which is held increasingly plausible. "Deny" Already the word is so completely out of place. Who is denying himself against a proven truth. Scientific hypotheses and predictions can at best be contested, and critically reviewed. Exactly to do that is by its self but also the central task of science.
Pointe a hysterical American columnist, would not further mention it, if they were not indicative of a broad trend in public opinion here in the U.S.. With the battle cry "Now is the time for action!" is just a radical end to all scientific and political climate of controversy propagated.
The brave new world knows no parties - they know only environmentalists. The film about the campaign will enter the former U.S. Vice President Al Gore this weekend, probably even an Oscar. Appropriately, the poster advertises for his film "An Inconvenient Truth" equally comfortable with a falsehood, namely, a hurricane, which springs from a factory chimney. Hurricane researchers see far at most a small effect of greenhouse gases on the storm activity. They deny collectively, would say some columnists do well.

is no doubt any scientist, politician or journalist who deals with the issue of climate change, before a huge communication problem. The hypothesis of man-made global warming is supported mainly by ever more sophisticated computer models that can really understand except their developers and operators no mortal.
be accepted, however, this Hypothesis, derived from it may from preventive measures that may require enormous efforts and political-economic structural changes. The climate computer requires the Revolution.
Where the gap is so great between complicated evidence of research and the drastic implications for everyday life, there is the simplest solution of the big psychological leap firm belief and aggressive missionary work, exclusion and discredit all skeptics and dissenters; public enlightenment on all cylinders and all channels.
science is more welcome - but only if they hergibt what awaits the drunk from the lantern: support instead enlightenment.
makes Since then everyone with love, who knew the always best, as the neighbors should set up her life: make of car, holiday destinations, furnace technology or raising children - all far too vital to make it easy to let the market and the free decisions of an unexplained mass .

The alarmism trap
In the long run, this policy, however, quite dangerous. They risk not only their credibility, because it is caught up in everyday life in countless contradictions. How it fits approximately the one-against-twelve-rhetoric that both airports are celebrated as a job? The fact that high gas and electricity prices, which, after all, more economical with Power to force these days in the name of the people, the fight is announced? With zealous missionaries
can also develop any rational climate strategy. The greatest danger today is not going more from the skeptics, but out of the alarmists warned recently did a pioneer of climate research, Briton Michael Hulme. He will more often attacked by activists who sounded his remarks not dramatic and pointed enough. Hulme's wish: "We should all take a break sometimes and take a deep breath."
A sensible climate policy does not need shock propaganda and not rehashed anti-capitalism, no end-time preacher and not a mass movement of eco-block waiting. She needs a sober debate about how many resources should be used for loan losses as a mitigation can be organized most efficiently and how best to bring them together with other policy objectives. About the long-term security of energy supply that is as independent as possible of the whims of some oil and Gaspotentaten.
For a start should be on every climate change brochure at least the warning must be printed, which formulated the libertarian American journalist HL Mencken decades ago: "The urge to save the world, is almost always a front for the urge to rule."

Christian Schuette is head of the FTD comment
Reprinted with permission of the author

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